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By Jessica Thakur
January 22, 2024
The year 2023 proved to be a transformative period for Canadian immigration, marked by an array of policies, measures, and changes. Amidst these developments, the Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) scores emerged as a central theme, significantly impacting the journey of Express Entry candidates. With CRS scores reaching unprecedented highs, the lingering question is whether 2024 will continue this trend.
What to Expect in 2024?
The prediction of CRS score trends for 2024 poses a challenge due to various factors, notably the dynamic nature of the Express Entry pool. Changes in the distribution of CRS scores throughout the year can influence the minimum scores required for draws and potentially impact draw sizes.
An additional complexity introduced in 2023 was the advent of category-based draws. These draws, aligned with Express Entry categories reflecting labor market and demographic needs, included:
1. Healthcare occupations
2. STEM occupations
3. Trade occupations
4. Transport occupations
5. Agriculture and agri-food occupations
6. French language proficiency
These category-based draws, focusing on targeted groups crucial for Canadian immigration, have the potential to invite candidates with lower CRS scores. However, maximizing CRS scores before attempting to secure an Invitation to Apply (ITA) remains a recommended strategy for most candidates.
The incorporation of Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) candidates in Express Entry draws further complicates score predictions. PNP candidates receive an additional 600 CRS points, skewing overall cut-off scores.
Tracking CRS Scores in 2023
1. General/All-program draws:
- Total Draws: 19
- ITAs Issued: 76,700
- Highest CRS Cut-off: 561
- Lowest CRS Cut-off: 481
2. PNP draws:
- Total Draws: 5
- ITAs Issued: 4,396
- Highest CRS Cut-off: 791
- Lowest CRS Cut-off: 691
3. Healthcare occupations:
- Total Draws: 3
- ITAs Issued: 5,600
- Highest CRS Cut-off: 476
- Lowest CRS Cut-off: 431
4. STEM occupations:
- Total Draws: 2
- ITAs Issued: 6,400
- Highest CRS Cut-off: 486
- Lowest CRS Cut-off: 481
5. Trade occupations:
- Total Draws: 2
- ITAs Issued: 2,500
- Highest CRS Cut-off: 425
- Lowest CRS Cut-off: 388
6. Transport occupations:
- Total Draws: 2
- ITAs Issued: 1,670
- CRS Cut-off: 435
7. Agriculture and Agri-food occupations:
- Total Draws: 2
- ITAs Issued: 1,000
- Highest CRS Cut-off: 386
- Lowest CRS Cut-off: 354
8. French language proficiency:
- Total Draws: 6
- ITAs Issued: 8,700
- Highest CRS Cut-off: 486
- Lowest CRS Cut-off: 375
As we move into 2024, predicting the trajectory of CRS scores remains a complex task. The interplay of category-based draws, PNP nominations, and the evolving Express Entry pool dynamics will continue to shape the landscape of Canadian immigration. Candidates are advised to stay informed, maximize their CRS scores, and adapt to the dynamic nature of the immigration process.
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